It’s a fundamental lesson in economics and a lesson that all consumers and investors should understand. Even if we are in the midst of a healthy recovery it will not be a straight line up. Rather an economic recovery always has plenty of rough spots in it where it may still feel like we are in a recession. Don’t be alarmed the first time the stock market has a pretty strong move to the downside or the first time some of the economic numbers don’t show a very optimistic picture of the economy. An economic recovery is typically full of times where consumers and analysts alike question whether the recovery is real or not.
The recession we have been in was a very deep recession that will take a long time to recover from. The stock market has certainly priced in the fact that a recovery is on its way, but it may not have factored in the economic bumps in the road that are sure to come. Since September and October are typically two of the worst months of the year for the stock market, an investor should probably tread carefully with the stock market at these levels. There will certainly be some pullbacks where you can find stocks at a better price.
It’s fine to be optimistic about the outlook of the economy for your country and the world as a whole, but it is definitely wise to be realistic about the recovery. When there has been such a powerful global recession where so many have lost their jobs and the strength of the consumer has been compromised so badly, you must realize that it will take time to heal those wounds. The recovery may well be taking place now, but don’t expect a straight line up for the economy or the stock market!