This Is No Time to Worry About Higher Interest Rates
Friday, December 4th, 2009Earlier today the positive economic surprise that Bharathi wrote about was the drop in the unemployment rate and the minuscule amount of jobs lost last month. Since the news from the labor market hasn’t been positive in quite some time today’s news is most definitely welcome and very important to the economy and the market.
As only the stock market can do it instantly turned from a positive reaction to the jobs number to slightly negative on the day due to worries about the Federal Reserve possibly moving to raise interest rates sooner rather than later because of this positive announcement on the economy. I think this is definitely the wrong reaction to news of this sort. First of all, please remember that the jobs market still lost 11,000 jobs last month, which is much better than it has been, but we still have a long ways to go. In addition Ben Bernanke has been adamant that the FOMC will keep rates at historical lows as long as is necessary to stimulate the economy and pull out of the downturn. When the economy is still in clear danger and jobs haven’t even been created it is a little strange to be terribly worried about inflation or the need to raise interest rates in the near term.
Sure interest rates will eventually go higher in the long run. They can’t go any lower! The truth is though, worrying about a small uptick in interest rates that may come in the distant future shouldn’t be on the minds of investors or consumers right now. Right now any kind of good news in the labor markets that might signal more people will get a chance to go back to work is extremely good news, no matter what some market analysts may tell you! Interest rate worries are far overblown right now, and the continuing goal should be to move the economy forward!